AHEAD OF PRINT

The week ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Thursday, 3 September 2026
Edition of Thursday, 10 September 2026

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Thu 3 Sept · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within seven days — by Thursday, 10 September 2026.

Politics

Susan Lahey, Fatima Shaban and Jeff Beattie won Provincial By-elections

The victories filled seats in Scarborough Southwest, Hamilton East, Stoney Creek and York, Simcoe.

56% certain
lead market 56%next 38%1 venuesettles Thu 3 Sept3 markets behind this

Three Provincial by-elections concluded on Thursday, 3 September. Voters in Scarborough Southwest, Hamilton East, Stoney Creek and York, Simcoe each chose a new representative. The winners were Fatima Shaban, Jeff Beattie and Susan Lahey respectively.

In Scarborough Southwest, Fatima Shaban emerged as the victor. Her election filled the vacancy for that riding. The result added to the composition of the Provincial legislature.

Hamilton East, Stoney Creek saw Jeff Beattie win the seat. His victory completed the by-election process for the district.

York, Simcoe elected Susan Lahey. Her win finalized the trio of outcomes announced on Thursday. The legislature now includes Lahey among its members.

Analysis

By-elections serve to replace legislators who have left office, and each new seat can shift the balance of power in a parliamentary body. With three seats filled simultaneously, the overall partisan composition of the Provincial legislature may have changed, depending on the party affiliations of the newly elected members.

The three ridings represent distinct urban and suburban areas, so the incoming representatives are likely to bring different regional priorities to the assembly.

Without concrete information on the party alignment of Fatima Shaban, Jeff Beattie and Susan Lahey, the precise impact on legislative outcomes remains uncertain. Their presence could affect the passage of upcoming bills, especially if the governing coalition holds a narrow margin, making each new vote significant.

What this was built from

Each claim above traces to a market below, at the price it was trading when this edition went to press.

Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner: Fatima Shaban, 90% settles Thursday, 3 September 2026 · polymarket · see the market
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner: Jeff Beattie, 56% settles Thursday, 3 September 2026 · polymarket · see the market
York—Simcoe Provincial By-Election Winner: Susan Lahey, 99% settles Thursday, 3 September 2026 · polymarket · see the market
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