38%Bitcoin held above $84,000 in late September 202694%Strait of Hormuz traffic remained below normal levels67%White House lifted bans on CNN, Politico and MS NOW91%Starship Flight Test 14 launched in September86%Anthropic topped AI benchmarks at end of September94%Mojtaba Khamenei not seen in public by month-end54%MLSTP won São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary election

AHEAD OF PRINT

The week ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Thursday, 24 September 2026
Edition of Thursday, 1 October 2026

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Thu 24 Sept · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within seven days — by Thursday, 1 October 2026.

Crypto

Bitcoin held above $84,000 in late September 2026

The cryptocurrency stayed near $85,000, never slipping below $82,000 or breaching $90,000.

38% certain
lead market 38%next 38%1 venuesettles Thu 1 Oct

Bitcoin stayed above $84,000 in the latter half of September 2026. The cryptocurrency hovered around $85,000 and closed the month near $87.5k. Throughout the period it avoided any sharp declines.

On September 24 the price was recorded above $82,000. After that date the level remained above $84,000. By month-end the price touched $87.5k but did not exceed it.

Read the full report

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  2. Which company has the best AI model end of September?: Anthropic97%Wed 30 Sept
  3. Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?: No89%Thu 1 Oct
  4. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes96%Wed 30 Sept
  5. US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?: No94%Thu 1 Oct
  6. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  7. Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?: No93%Thu 1 Oct
  8. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?: No87%Thu 1 Oct
  9. Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  10. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 24?: Yes90%Thu 24 Sept
  11. Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  12. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?: No84%Thu 1 Oct
  13. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  14. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  15. Will Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026?: No97%Wed 30 Sept
  16. Best Chinese AI Company end of September?: Alibaba91%Wed 30 Sept
  17. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  18. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Polymarket]: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  19. Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  20. Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  21. Will a US senator die before October 1st?: No94%Wed 30 Sept
  22. Bitcoin $87,500 in September 2026?: Yes62%Wed 30 Sept
  23. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?: Anthropic90%Wed 30 Sept
  24. Bitcoin reaches 90k USD at any point before October: No83%Wed 30 Sept
  25. Bitcoin price on September 24?: 84,000-86,00045%Thu 24 Sept
  26. Will bitcoin go below 9.000$ at the end of this month?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  27. Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?: Anthropic91%Thu 1 Oct
  28. Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner: Kerry-Lynne Findlay54%Sat 26 Sept
  29. CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?: Yes100%Thu 1 Oct
  30. Will SpaceX Crew-13 launch by September 30, 2026?: No99%Mon 28 Sept
  31. What price will Bitcoin hit in September 2026?: Reach $85,00038%Thu 1 Oct
  32. Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  33. Will the Anthropic-Blackstone enterprise AI services firm name its first customer by Sept 30, 2026?: Yes86%Wed 30 Sept
  34. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?: Anthropic95%Thu 1 Oct
  35. Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?: Yes91%Thu 1 Oct
  36. Will the White House name a new Press Secretary (permanent, acting, or interim) by September 30, 2026?: No67%Thu 1 Oct
  37. SpaceX closes above $170 at end of month?: No92%Wed 30 Sept
  38. Kraków Mayoral Election Winner: Łukasz Gibała80%Sun 27 Sept
  39. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?: Anthropic95%Wed 30 Sept
  40. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?: Anthropic94%Wed 30 Sept
  41. Will CNN, MS NOW, and Politico all regain White House press access before October 2026?: Yes91%Thu 1 Oct
  42. Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  43. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?: Anthropic94%Wed 30 Sept
  44. São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner: MLSTP97%Mon 28 Sept
  45. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes95%Wed 30 Sept
  46. Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  47. Trump out as President by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  48. Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  49. Iran leadership change by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  50. Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?: No94%Thu 1 Oct
  51. US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes93%Wed 30 Sept
  52. [ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  53. US government shutdown on October 1st 2026?: No97%Wed 30 Sept
  54. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?: No94%Thu 1 Oct
  55. Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  56. Will the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 65 or higher on September 30, 2026?: Yes97%Wed 30 Sept
  57. Xi JinPing visits USA before Sep 30?: Yes99%Tue 29 Sept
  58. Largest Company end of September?: NVIDIA97%Thu 1 Oct
  59. Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  60. Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  61. Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?: No95%Wed 30 Sept
  62. Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026?: No83%Tue 29 Sept
  63. Will the US or China officially announce a Busan trade truce extension past Nov 10, 2026, by September 25, 2026?: Yes96%Fri 25 Sept
  64. Will Shohei Ohtani hit at least 43 home runs in 2026?: No99%Sun 27 Sept
  65. Clarity Act will pass in September: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  66. MLB: ERA Leader: Jacob Misiorowski80%Mon 28 Sept
  67. Will Trump and Xi meet in September 2026?: Yes99%Wed 30 Sept
  68. Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  69. Will DeepSeek's next reasoning model be called R3?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  70. Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  71. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?: No94%Thu 1 Oct
  72. Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?: 200-21947%Fri 25 Sept
  73. Will 0x876611867717dE6b6dff30da5CeF9feB620eE1ea REACH more than 200.00 USDC Base by September 28th 11:59 pm UTC: No91%Mon 28 Sept
  74. "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?: 950 - 960m98%Thu 1 Oct
  75. Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  76. MLB: RBIs Leader: Alec Burleson47%Mon 28 Sept
  77. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  78. US Average Gas Price Is $4.3500 or more on September 28 2026?: Yes97%Mon 28 Sept
  79. Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  80. Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  81. Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $102 on September 24, 2026?: No96%Thu 24 Sept
  82. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?: No94%Thu 1 Oct
  83. Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  84. Will Sanji be a confirmed Conqueror’s Haki User during the battle against the God's Knights on Elbaph?: Yes87%Wed 30 Sept
  85. Will the next full gemini model be frontier at coding?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  86. Will Solana dip to $70 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  87. Will an ICE Agent engage in an "Unjustified" shooting at a U.S. airport before the 2026 DHS Shutdown ends?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  88. Japan vs. Uruguay: Japan72%Thu 24 Sept
  89. Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?: No94%Thu 1 Oct
  90. Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?: No79%Thu 1 Oct
  91. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  92. Will Xi Jinping safely return to China after visiting the US?: Yes94%Thu 1 Oct
  93. Will I remain in Montreal past September?: Yes93%Wed 30 Sept
  94. MLB: Batting Average Leader: Yordan Alvarez65%Mon 28 Sept
  95. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  96. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  97. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  98. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  99. Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?: No59%Thu 1 Oct
  100. Will the address for math.eg.rego.re receive more than $50 before Sep 25?: Yes66%Fri 25 Sept
  101. Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  102. Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  103. Falcons vs. Packers: Packers58%Fri 25 Sept
  104. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?: No87%Thu 1 Oct
  105. Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  106. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  107. will Kalorm survive to the end of 'to face the death you're never that far from' (includes both true death and cryo): Yes95%Wed 30 Sept
  108. Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?: No100%Wed 30 Sept
  109. Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  110. Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?: No85%Thu 1 Oct
  111. Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  112. Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  113. Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?: No87%Thu 1 Oct
  114. Bitcoin price reaches 75k USD at any point before the end of the month: No95%Wed 30 Sept
  115. Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  116. Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  117. Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  118. Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  119. Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  120. Will GTA 6 require more than 200gb of space on PC.: Yes71%Thu 1 Oct
  121. Will a manifolder report on the Oreo chicken burger in the next month?: No89%Sat 26 Sept
  122. Netherlands vs. Germany: Netherlands71%Thu 24 Sept
  123. Will Trump outlive DeSantis?: No93%Wed 30 Sept
  124. Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  125. Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  126. Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  127. Will Iran and the US reach a formal nuclear deal by September 30, 2026?: No97%Wed 30 Sept
  128. Will the US sign a peace agreement based on Iran's 14-point plan before September 30, 2026?: No95%Wed 30 Sept
  129. Apakah aptos akan naik 75% September: No75%Wed 30 Sept
  130. Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva: Alina Charaeva56%Thu 1 Oct
  131. Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?: No76%Thu 1 Oct
  132. Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  133. Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?: No98%Wed 30 Sept
  134. Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  135. Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?: No97%Wed 30 Sept
  136. Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?: No93%Thu 1 Oct
  137. Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  138. Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  139. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?: No93%Thu 1 Oct
  140. Norway vs. Denmark: Norway73%Thu 24 Sept
  141. Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?: No81%Thu 1 Oct
  142. Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?: Yes100%Thu 1 Oct
  143. Will deepseek v5 release in september 2026?: No96%Wed 30 Sept
  144. US Average Gas Price Is $4.600 or more on any day in September 2026?: No83%Wed 30 Sept
  145. Will hello-lume ship a robot by the end of September 2026: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  146. Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C: Paper Rex56%Thu 24 Sept
  147. Spread: Packers (-6.5): Falcons56%Fri 25 Sept
  148. Will anyone find me a decent web archival program? [M$20,000 bounty]: No74%Tue 29 Sept
  149. Will a new US-Iran ceasefire take effect before October 1, 2026?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  150. Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  151. US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  152. # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?: 60-70M64%Sat 26 Sept
  153. Will my YouTube Channel have 30 subscribers before the end of September 2026?: Yes92%Wed 30 Sept
  154. 3rd Largest Company end of September?: Alphabet98%Thu 1 Oct
  155. Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  156. What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?: $1.153M - $1.169M62%Wed 30 Sept
  157. Will Manifold have a mana purchase goal meter?: No88%Thu 1 Oct
  158. Will Israel attack Iraq in September 2026?: No98%Wed 30 Sept
  159. Trump renames AI by September 30?: No74%Thu 1 Oct
  160. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  161. Will Kalshi beat Polymarket?: Yes57%Thu 24 Sept
  162. China PR vs. Maldives: China PR78%Thu 24 Sept
  163. Swiss federal Neutrality Initiative passes: No85%Tue 29 Sept
  164. Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?: No91%Thu 1 Oct
  165. Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in September?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  166. Pedri in Ballon d'Or top 10 in 2026?: No98%Tue 29 Sept
  167. US airstrikes Yemen in September?: No75%Wed 30 Sept
  168. 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner: Uzbekistan68%Mon 28 Sept
  169. Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on September 24?: No87%Thu 24 Sept
  170. Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?: OpenAI89%Wed 30 Sept
  171. Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  172. Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?: No release by September 3094%Fri 25 Sept
  173. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  174. Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C: G2 Esports66%Thu 24 Sept
  175. Trump meets with Putin by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  176. Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?: No91%Thu 1 Oct
  177. Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  178. Ole Miss vs. Florida: Florida60%Sat 26 Sept
  179. Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  180. Will XRP dip to $1.00 in September?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  181. Will 'Old Vegas' shut down the 51 Alpha prediction markets happy hour?: No92%Wed 30 Sept
  182. Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?: No90%Thu 1 Oct
  183. Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?: 840-87930%Thu 1 Oct
  184. Hangzhou Open: Dane Sweeny vs Taro Daniel: Dane Sweeny68%Thu 1 Oct
  185. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?: No100%Wed 30 Sept
  186. Central Bank of Colombia decision in September: No change70%Thu 1 Oct
  187. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  188. People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?: No Change99%Wed 30 Sept
  189. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?: No78%Thu 1 Oct
  190. Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  191. Will Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in September 2026?: No75%Wed 30 Sept
  192. Will Elon Musk and Donald Trump appear together in the same new photo or video on X before October 1, 2026?: No85%Wed 30 Sept
  193. Will Solana reach $130 in September?: No87%Thu 1 Oct
  194. 2nd Largest Company end of September?: Apple99%Wed 30 Sept
  195. Will Iran directly strike a US military base in September 2026?: Yes82%Thu 1 Oct
  196. Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  197. Will a model saturate AISI's "The Last Ones" before October 2026?: No69%Wed 30 Sept
  198. Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  199. Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  200. Will Solana reach $200 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  201. Will China's total Eu exports for June 2025–July 2026 exceed 320000 kg? : Yes77%Wed 30 Sept
  202. Will Resolution Minerals antimony production capability at Johnson Creek mill exceed 0 tons/year on September 30, 2026?: Yes99%Wed 30 Sept
  203. Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September: 25 bps increase94%Tue 29 Sept
  204. Will WTI crude oil close at or below $65 before October 1, 2026?: No98%Wed 30 Sept
  205. Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election?: No61%Sun 27 Sept
  206. Korea Republic vs. Ecuador: Korea Republic60%Thu 24 Sept
  207. "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office: 22m+62%Sun 27 Sept
  208. Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  209. Will China's total Eu exports for June 2025–July 2026 exceed 220000 kg? : Yes78%Wed 30 Sept
  210. Will Russia enter Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  211. Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?: No99%Sun 27 Sept
  212. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 24?: Yes84%Thu 24 Sept
  213. What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on September 30?: $335K - $340K70%Wed 30 Sept
  214. Will Solana reach $170 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  215. Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  216. Toronto Blue Jays make 2026 postseason?: No98%Sat 26 Sept
  217. Will POWDR announce the sale of a ski area to Vail, Alterra, Mountain Capital Partners, or Boyne by summer 2026?: No97%Sun 27 Sept
  218. Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  219. Will I weigh >150lbs at the end of September?: No62%Wed 30 Sept
  220. Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?: No94%Thu 1 Oct
  221. I will be able to purchase an Apple folding phone at an Apple store before September 30, 2026: No99%Tue 29 Sept
  222. Will a hurricane make landfall in the continental U.S. before October 1, 2026?: No94%Thu 1 Oct
  223. M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov: Aristarkh Safonov100%Wed 30 Sept
  224. Will China's total Eu exports for June 2025–July 2026 exceed 140000 kg? : Yes78%Wed 30 Sept
  225. Will a baseball player hit more than 62 home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  226. USD x Iranian rials End of September?: 2.2M+90%Thu 1 Oct
  227. Will Solana reach $140 in September?: No92%Thu 1 Oct
  228. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 24?: No90%Thu 24 Sept
  229. Christopher Luxon out by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  230. Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?: OpenAI91%Thu 1 Oct
  231. Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?: No98%Wed 30 Sept
  232. Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 0.8 GWh by Sep 2026?: No90%Wed 30 Sept
  233. Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?: OpenAI93%Wed 30 Sept
  234. Will Apple announce new iPhone 18 features at September 2026 event?: Yes96%Wed 30 Sept
  235. Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  236. Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?: Z.ai69%Thu 1 Oct
  237. Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  238. What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?: $663K - $689K82%Wed 30 Sept
  239. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 24?: No97%Thu 24 Sept
  240. Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?: No95%Wed 30 Sept
  241. US Core PCE inflation (year-over-year) — August 2026: 3.40%59%Wed 30 Sept
  242. Will Solana reach $120 in September?: Yes63%Thu 1 Oct
  243. Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2026?: No90%Thu 1 Oct
  244. Will a new Claude Sonnet model be released in September 2026?: No87%Wed 30 Sept
  245. Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Terence Atmane: Terence Atmane76%Wed 30 Sept
  246. Will American opinion of AI improve in 2026, according to Gallup?: No96%Wed 30 Sept
  247. Will Americans believe AI does more good than harm in 2026, according to Gallup?: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  248. Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 30?: No63%Wed 30 Sept
  249. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 24?: Yes96%Thu 24 Sept
  250. Israel military action against Lebanon on September 28?: Yes86%Mon 28 Sept
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within seven days, then reported as though they already had.