51%Sinja Kraus won China Open match over Maya Joint82%Spider-Man 4 out-earned Toy Story 5 and Scream 7 combined38%Bitcoin stayed above $80,000 and hit $85,000 in September58%Tarcísio de Freitas won São Paulo governorship43%Lula won Brazil's Presidential election in the first round62%PL won most Senate seats and Chamber of Deputies51%Colts covered Spread in win over Commanders53%LOUD defeated team Vitality in VCT Champions group98%U.S. gasoline averaged over $4 per gallon on October 193%OpenAI missed top LiveBench ranking94%Strait of Hormuz traffic remained disrupted through September94%US avoided government Shutdown and major political shifts

AHEAD OF PRINT

The week ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Wednesday, 30 September 2026
Edition of Wednesday, 7 October 2026

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Wed 30 Sept · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within seven days — by Wednesday, 7 October 2026.

Sports

Sinja Kraus won China Open match over Maya Joint

Janice Tjen defeated Anhelina Kalinina at the China Open and Alejandro Tabilo beat Tommy Paul in Tokyo.

51% certain
lead market 51%next 50%1 venuesettles Wed 7 Oct

The Asian swing of the tour produced several breakthrough victories on Wednesday. Emerging talents captured key wins at the China Open, Japan Open and Jingshan events. Winners included Sinja Kraus, Janice Tjen, Alejandro Tabilo, Jiri Lehecka, Elias Ymer and others.

At the China Open, Sinja Kraus defeated Maya Joint to advance. Janice Tjen overcame Anhelina Kalinina in another match. Katarzyna Kawa beat Daria Snigur, while Polina Kudermetova prevailed over Mayar Sherif.

Read the full report

Science

OpenAI missed top LiveBench ranking

The firm also failed to secure the best AI Agent slot and announced no new Millennium Prize solution.

93% certain
lead market 93%next 7%1 venuesettles Wed 30 Sept

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Flávio Bolsonaro72%Mon 5 Oct
  2. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  3. Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  4. Trump out as President by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  5. Which company has the best AI model end of September?: Anthropic99%Wed 30 Sept
  6. US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  7. US government shutdown on October 1st 2026?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  8. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  9. Bitcoin $87,500 in September 2026?: No97%Wed 30 Sept
  10. Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?: No90%Thu 1 Oct
  11. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  12. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?: No90%Thu 1 Oct
  13. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  14. Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  15. Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  16. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  17. Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?: No94%Wed 30 Sept
  18. Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  19. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place: Renan Santos51%Mon 5 Oct
  20. US Average Gas Price Is $4.000 or more on October 1st 2026?: Yes99%Thu 1 Oct
  21. US Average Gas Price Is $4.600 or more on any day in September 2026?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  22. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  23. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Polymarket]: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  24. US Average Gas Price Is $4.400 or more on October 1 2026?: Yes98%Thu 1 Oct
  25. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  26. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  27. Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  28. Bitcoin price reaches 75k USD at any point before the end of the month: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  29. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 30?: Yes96%Wed 30 Sept
  30. Will an ICE Agent engage in an "Unjustified" shooting at a U.S. airport before the 2026 DHS Shutdown ends?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  31. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Lula da Silva <5%55%Mon 5 Oct
  32. Bitcoin reaches 90k USD at any point before October: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  33. US airstrikes Yemen in September?: No94%Wed 30 Sept
  34. Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner: Lula74%Mon 5 Oct
  35. São Paulo Governor Election Winner: Tarcísio de Freitas99%Mon 5 Oct
  36. Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner: Cleitinho Azevedo94%Mon 5 Oct
  37. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  38. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  39. Elected Governor of Minas Gerais in 2026: Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos)84%Sun 4 Oct
  40. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  41. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  42. Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won: PL99%Mon 5 Oct
  43. China Open: Maya Joint vs Sinja Kraus: Sinja Kraus100%Wed 7 Oct
  44. Did OpenAI just solve hodge??: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  45. Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner: Eduardo Paes81%Mon 5 Oct
  46. Ceará Governor Election Winner: Elmano de Freitas66%Mon 5 Oct
  47. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 1?: Yes92%Thu 1 Oct
  48. Paraná Governor Election Winner: Sergio Moro82%Mon 5 Oct
  49. Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  50. Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Terence Atmane: Elias Ymer100%Wed 7 Oct
  51. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?: Anthropic99%Wed 30 Sept
  52. Will bitcoin go below 9.000$ at the end of this month?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  53. Through September 2026, will Spider-Man 4 out-earn the combined domestic box office of Toy Story 5 and Scream 7?: Yes99%Fri 2 Oct
  54. China Open: Janice Tjen vs Anhelina Kalinina: Janice Tjen100%Wed 7 Oct
  55. Bahia Governor Election Winner: Jerônimo Rodrigues58%Mon 5 Oct
  56. Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4?: No89%Mon 5 Oct
  57. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?: 2-4%43%Sun 4 Oct
  58. Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner: Luciano Zucco78%Mon 5 Oct
  59. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?: 39%+86%Sun 4 Oct
  60. Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?: No88%Mon 5 Oct
  61. Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place: Bia Kicis80%Mon 5 Oct
  62. Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul: Alejandro Tabilo100%Wed 7 Oct
  63. Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner: PL65%Mon 5 Oct
  64. LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs: Solary71%Wed 30 Sept
  65. Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner : Jorginho Mello99%Mon 5 Oct
  66. São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place: Guilherme Derrite70%Mon 5 Oct
  67. What price will Bitcoin hit in September 2026?: Reach $85,00038%Thu 1 Oct
  68. Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  69. Spread: Colts (-3.5): Colts56%Sun 4 Oct
  70. São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place: André do Prado62%Mon 5 Oct
  71. Will the Anthropic-Blackstone enterprise AI services firm name its first customer by Sept 30, 2026?: Yes81%Wed 30 Sept
  72. LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs: T1 Academy60%Wed 30 Sept
  73. Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs: Jiri Lehecka80%Wed 7 Oct
  74. Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B: LOUD54%Wed 30 Sept
  75. Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?: did not happen98%Thu 1 Oct
  76. Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage: PARIVISION53%Sat 3 Oct
  77. China Open: Daria Snigur vs Katarzyna Kawa: Katarzyna Kawa62%Wed 7 Oct
  78. Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C: BetBoom Team75%Wed 30 Sept
  79. Will the Trump administration successfully overturn the Anthropic injunction on appeal by September 30, 2026?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  80. Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5): Solary63%Wed 30 Sept
  81. Colts vs. Commanders: Colts65%Sun 4 Oct
  82. Will OpenAI and Anthropic’s S1s be a “massacre” for AI model companies?: No93%Wed 30 Sept
  83. "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office: <17m82%Sun 4 Oct
  84. NFL Week 4: Will the Philadelphia Eagles defeat the Los Angeles Rams by 3 or more points in Week 4?: No65%Sun 4 Oct
  85. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?: Anthropic99%Thu 1 Oct
  86. Dota 2: Cloud Dawning vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 1 Winner: Yangon Galacticos99%Wed 30 Sept
  87. LoL: Hong Kong vs South Korea (BO1) - Asian Games Group B: South Korea100%Wed 30 Sept
  88. China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova: Polina Kudermetova51%Wed 7 Oct
  89. NFL Week 4: Will the Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Cleveland Browns by 3 or more points on Thursday Night Football?: Yes51%Fri 2 Oct
  90. Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs: B856%Thu 1 Oct
  91. Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 300k?: No99%Fri 2 Oct
  92. Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?: No94%Mon 5 Oct
  93. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?: did not happen99%Wed 30 Sept
  94. Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 150k?: Yes91%Fri 2 Oct
  95. Brazil Presidential Election: Flávio Bolsonaro57%Mon 5 Oct
  96. 🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027: No58%Sat 3 Oct
  97. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes99%Wed 30 Sept
  98. Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  99. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  100. US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes98%Wed 30 Sept
  101. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes97%Wed 30 Sept
  102. Iran leadership change by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  103. California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?: Yes96%Thu 1 Oct
  104. [ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  105. Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?: No96%Fri 2 Oct
  106. Will Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026?: No97%Wed 30 Sept
  107. Will the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 65 or higher on September 30, 2026?: Yes98%Wed 30 Sept
  108. AI beats human baseline on PostTrainBench by 1 Oct 2026?: No84%Tue 6 Oct
  109. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro53%Fri 2 Oct
  110. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  111. Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  112. Imu will be stronger than Blackbeard AND the final villain of One Piece: No67%Sat 3 Oct
  113. Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  114. Best Chinese AI Company end of September?: Xiaomi96%Wed 30 Sept
  115. Clarity Act will pass in September: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  116. Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  117. Will Trump and Xi meet in September 2026?: Yes99%Wed 30 Sept
  118. Will DeepSeek's next reasoning model be called R3?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  119. US Average Gas Price Is $4.5500 or more on October 1 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  120. DOGE cuts $1T federal deficit by FY 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  121. Quebec General Election Winner: PQ96%Tue 6 Oct
  122. Largest Company end of September?: NVIDIA100%Thu 1 Oct
  123. Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  124. Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: Yes97%Mon 5 Oct
  125. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  126. Will the FY27 NASA Budget be larger than FY25?: Yes59%Thu 1 Oct
  127. Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  128. Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?: No94%Thu 1 Oct
  129. Will the next full gemini model be frontier at coding?: No94%Thu 1 Oct
  130. Will random.org pick 100,000?: No99%Tue 6 Oct
  131. Will Sanji be a confirmed Conqueror’s Haki User during the battle against the God's Knights on Elbaph?: Yes87%Wed 30 Sept
  132. Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  133. Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  134. Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  135. Hegseth, Patel, or RFK is out within the next 90 days: No93%Mon 5 Oct
  136. Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?: No94%Mon 5 Oct
  137. Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?: 200-21929%Fri 2 Oct
  138. Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  139. Will I remain in Montreal past September?: Yes93%Wed 30 Sept
  140. Will the silver spot price be above $75 USD on October 1st?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  141. Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  142. Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?: No89%Thu 1 Oct
  143. Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  144. Will there be a Quebec referendum in the next provincial term?: No77%Sat 3 Oct
  145. Will Northern Cyprus be recognized by a country other than Turkey before October 2026?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  146. Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  147. Will a US senator die before October 1st?: No95%Wed 30 Sept
  148. Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  149. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  150. Jair Bolsonaro leaves Brazilian jurisdiction before October 4th 2026?: No97%Sat 3 Oct
  151. Will Muse rank #1 in App Store (iPhone) on October 1st 2026: Yes89%Thu 1 Oct
  152. Will Eliezer and Gretta still be really into each other on October 4th, 2026?: Yes93%Mon 5 Oct
  153. will Kalorm survive to the end of 'to face the death you're never that far from' (includes both true death and cryo): Yes95%Wed 30 Sept
  154. Apakah aptos akan naik 75% September: No70%Wed 30 Sept
  155. Will Iran and the US reach a formal nuclear deal by September 30, 2026?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  156. Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  157. Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?: No70%Thu 1 Oct
  158. Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner: AS97%Sun 4 Oct
  159. Lima Mayoral Election Winner: Rafael López Aliaga87%Mon 5 Oct
  160. Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  161. Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  162. Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?: No97%Wed 30 Sept
  163. China PR vs. Turkmenistan: Draw (China PR vs. Turkmenistan)71%Fri 2 Oct
  164. Will the US sign a peace agreement based on Iran's 14-point plan before September 30, 2026?: No96%Wed 30 Sept
  165. Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?: No100%Wed 30 Sept
  166. Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  167. Will I stay in masters this season?: Yes71%Thu 1 Oct
  168. Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?: No89%Thu 1 Oct
  169. Will GTA 6 require more than 200gb of space on PC.: Yes66%Thu 1 Oct
  170. US Core PCE inflation (year-over-year) — August 2026: Exactly 3.2%52%Wed 30 Sept
  171. Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  172. Will Trump outlive DeSantis?: No93%Wed 30 Sept
  173. Will a model saturate AISI's "The Last Ones" before October 2026?: No92%Wed 30 Sept
  174. Denmark vs. Portugal: Portugal52%Thu 1 Oct
  175. Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  176. Will I get called "sir" more than "ma'am" over the phone in September?: No97%Wed 30 Sept
  177. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  178. Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  179. Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  180. Next Premier of Quebec: Paul St-Pierre Plamondon95%Tue 6 Oct
  181. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  182. Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  183. Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  184. Will I weigh >150lbs at the end of September?: Yes67%Wed 30 Sept
  185. Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  186. US Average Gas Price Is $4.3800 or more on October 5 2026?: No68%Mon 5 Oct
  187. Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  188. Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: Yes98%Mon 5 Oct
  189. Will Solana dip to $70 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  190. Will deepseek v5 release in september 2026?: No95%Wed 30 Sept
  191. Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  192. Greece vs. Netherlands: Netherlands60%Thu 1 Oct
  193. Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  194. Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  195. Will hello-lume ship a robot by the end of September 2026: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  196. Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?: No94%Thu 1 Oct
  197. Will a new US-Iran ceasefire take effect before October 1, 2026?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  198. US Average Gas Price Is $4.4200 or more on October 5 2026?: No82%Sun 4 Oct
  199. Will Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in September 2026?: No64%Wed 30 Sept
  200. Will this MARKET have UNDER 100 TRADERS by the end of September? : Yes93%Thu 1 Oct
  201. Elon Musk # tweets September 28 - September 30, 2026?: 40-6455%Wed 30 Sept
  202. Will my YouTube Channel have 30 subscribers before the end of September 2026?: Yes92%Wed 30 Sept
  203. Will Manifold have a mana purchase goal meter?: No89%Thu 1 Oct
  204. SpaceX closes above $170 at end of month?: No98%Wed 30 Sept
  205. Spain vs. Czechia: Spain71%Sat 3 Oct
  206. Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  207. Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  208. US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  209. US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  210. Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?: 840-87951%Thu 1 Oct
  211. Will Opus 5.5 get nerfed within a week of launch?: No96%Wed 30 Sept
  212. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  213. Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  214. Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  215. Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  216. Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  217. Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC68%Wed 7 Oct
  218. Will Caroline Ellison serve the full 24 months in prison?: No99%Fri 2 Oct
  219. # of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?: 30–35M76%Sat 3 Oct
  220. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?: No91%Thu 1 Oct
  221. Will Solana reach $130 in September?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  222. Wales vs. Norway: Norway71%Thu 1 Oct
  223. Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  224. Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  225. Will the first Atlantic hurricane of 2026 form before October 1?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  226. Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  227. Will Google release "Gemini 3.5 Pro" to the public before October 1, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  228. Will Elon Musk and Donald Trump appear together in the same new photo or video on X before October 1, 2026?: No85%Wed 30 Sept
  229. Will OpenAI be granted a trademark on "GPT" (in the U.S.)?: No89%Thu 1 Oct
  230. Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  231. Will Solana reach $170 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  232. Will Serie be alive at the end of the Foundation Festival arc?: Yes72%Thu 1 Oct
  233. Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?: No release by September 3090%Thu 1 Oct
  234. Will Iran directly strike a US military base in September 2026?: Yes82%Thu 1 Oct
  235. Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  236. Will Guadians starting pitcher Gavin Williams finish the 2026 MLB regular season with an ERA below 4.00: Yes99%Mon 5 Oct
  237. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  238. Will WTI crude oil close at or below $65 before October 1, 2026?: No98%Wed 30 Sept
  239. Will a hurricane make landfall in the continental U.S. before October 1, 2026?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  240. Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  241. Will Solana reach $200 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  242. Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2: Pacquiao51%Sun 4 Oct
  243. Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  244. Will Solana reach $150 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  245. Will the Israeli government significantly undermine the next election?: No92%Thu 1 Oct
  246. Brazil 2026 Election: Will the presidential election be decided in first round?: No94%Sun 4 Oct
  247. Piauí Governor Election Winner: Rafael Fonteles98%Mon 5 Oct
  248. Maranhão Governor Election Winner: Eduardo Braide91%Mon 5 Oct
  249. Will the White House name a new Press Secretary (permanent, acting, or interim) by September 30, 2026?: No76%Thu 1 Oct
  250. Will the Yankees finish first in the AL East in 2026?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within seven days, then reported as though they already had.