51%China Open sees Zheng, Charaeva, Rinderknech and Volynets advance96%Drake missed September album deadline while Swift and Langley took #2 spots76%Parti Québécois won Quebec election, Paul St-Pierre Plamondon became Premier76%Spider-Man 4 out-earned Toy Story 5 and Scream 7 combined58%Flávio Bolsonaro won Brazil's 2026 Presidential election65%Liberal Party won most Senate seats and the Chamber of Deputies90%Lula lost presidential race as Bolsonaro remained in Brazil34%Muse topped iPhone App Store on October 1

AHEAD OF PRINT

The week ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Thursday, 1 October 2026
Edition of Thursday, 8 October 2026

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Thu 1 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within seven days — by Thursday, 8 October 2026.

Sports

China Open sees Zheng, Charaeva, Rinderknech and Volynets advance

Zheng beat Han Shi while Volynets toppled Montgomery in Thursday's first round.

51% certain
lead market 51%next 50%1 venuesettles Thu 8 Oct

The China Open delivered a batch of early-round upsets as Qinwen Zheng, Alina Charaeva, Arthur Rinderknech and Katie Volynets all advanced. Each victory occurred in the tournament's first round. The matches took place between Wednesday and Thursday.

On Thursday, Qinwen Zheng defeated Han Shi to move into the next round. Later the same day, Katie Volynets overcame Robin Montgomery. Both matches were completed on Thursday.

Read the full report

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Brazil Presidential Election: Flávio Bolsonaro58%Mon 5 Oct
  2. 🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027: No61%Sat 3 Oct
  3. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Flávio Bolsonaro69%Mon 5 Oct
  4. Quebec General Election Winner: PQ96%Tue 6 Oct
  5. Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?: 180-19934%Fri 2 Oct
  6. Will there be a Quebec referendum in the next provincial term?: No76%Sat 3 Oct
  7. Will Muse rank #1 in App Store (iPhone) on October 1st 2026: Yes92%Thu 1 Oct
  8. Jair Bolsonaro leaves Brazilian jurisdiction before October 4th 2026?: No97%Sat 3 Oct
  9. Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won: PL97%Mon 5 Oct
  10. China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi: Qinwen Zheng100%Thu 8 Oct
  11. Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place: Bia Kicis83%Mon 5 Oct
  12. Through September 2026, will Spider-Man 4 out-earn the combined domestic box office of Toy Story 5 and Scream 7?: Yes99%Fri 2 Oct
  13. China Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Alina Charaeva: Alina Charaeva94%Wed 7 Oct
  14. São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place: Guilherme Derrite77%Mon 5 Oct
  15. # of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?: 30–35M73%Sat 3 Oct
  16. Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner: PL65%Mon 5 Oct
  17. São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place: André do Prado67%Mon 5 Oct
  18. China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech: Arthur Rinderknech51%Thu 8 Oct
  19. Next Premier of Quebec: Paul St-Pierre Plamondon94%Tue 6 Oct
  20. Lula vencerá as eleicões presidenciais em 4 de Outubro de 2026?: No90%Sun 4 Oct
  21. "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office: <17m92%Sun 4 Oct
  22. China Open: Katie Volynets vs Robin Montgomery: Katie Volynets100%Thu 8 Oct
  23. Will Drake release a new album by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  24. Lula participates in debate before first round?: No99%Sat 3 Oct
  25. Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?: Yes96%Sun 4 Oct
  26. #2 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 2): Cleveland! - Taylor Swift97%Fri 2 Oct
  27. "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office: 28m+76%Sun 4 Oct
  28. Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?: No89%Mon 5 Oct
  29. Digger · Rotten Tomatoes score: Above 4086%Fri 2 Oct
  30. Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 10: Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley96%Wed 7 Oct
  31. Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?: Yes98%Wed 7 Oct
  32. California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?: Yes96%Thu 1 Oct
  33. Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?: No95%Fri 2 Oct
  34. Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?: Yes99%Thu 8 Oct
  35. AI beats human baseline on PostTrainBench by 1 Oct 2026?: No91%Tue 6 Oct
  36. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place: Renan Santos52%Mon 5 Oct
  37. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro56%Fri 2 Oct
  38. Wales vs. Norway: Norway74%Thu 1 Oct
  39. US Average Gas Price Is $4.5500 or more on October 1 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  40. US Average Gas Price Is $4.000 or more on October 1st 2026?: Yes99%Thu 1 Oct
  41. Imu will be stronger than Blackbeard AND the final villain of One Piece: No67%Sat 3 Oct
  42. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1?: Yes92%Thu 1 Oct
  43. DOGE cuts $1T federal deficit by FY 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  44. US Average Gas Price Is $4.400 or more on October 1 2026?: Yes98%Thu 1 Oct
  45. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Lula da Silva <5%56%Mon 5 Oct
  46. Hegseth, Patel, or RFK is out within the next 90 days: No95%Mon 5 Oct
  47. Will the FY27 NASA Budget be larger than FY25?: Yes58%Thu 1 Oct
  48. Greece vs. Netherlands: Netherlands64%Thu 1 Oct
  49. Will random.org pick 100,000?: No99%Tue 6 Oct
  50. Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: Yes97%Mon 5 Oct
  51. Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?: No96%Mon 5 Oct
  52. Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner: Lula69%Mon 5 Oct
  53. Denmark vs. Portugal: Portugal67%Thu 1 Oct
  54. Will the silver spot price be above $75 USD on October 1st?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  55. Will Northern Cyprus be recognized by a country other than Turkey before October 2026?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  56. Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner: Cleitinho Azevedo91%Mon 5 Oct
  57. Elected Governor of Minas Gerais in 2026: Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos)84%Sun 4 Oct
  58. US Average Gas Price Is $4.3800 or more on October 5 2026?: Yes51%Mon 5 Oct
  59. Will Eliezer and Gretta still be really into each other on October 4th, 2026?: Yes93%Mon 5 Oct
  60. Did OpenAI just solve hodge??: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  61. Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?: Yes88%Mon 5 Oct
  62. Spain vs. Czechia: Spain72%Sat 3 Oct
  63. Will I stay in masters this season?: Yes71%Thu 1 Oct
  64. Ceará Governor Election Winner: Elmano de Freitas68%Mon 5 Oct
  65. China PR vs. Turkmenistan: Draw (China PR vs. Turkmenistan)68%Fri 2 Oct
  66. Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4?: No92%Mon 5 Oct
  67. Paraná Governor Election Winner: Sergio Moro79%Mon 5 Oct
  68. Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner: Eduardo Paes68%Mon 5 Oct
  69. Germany vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5: Over72%Thu 1 Oct
  70. Lima Mayoral Election Winner: Rafael López Aliaga92%Mon 5 Oct
  71. Japan Open Tennis Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Stefanos Tsitsipas: Stefanos Tsitsipas100%Wed 7 Oct
  72. US Average Gas Price Is $4.3000 or more on October 5 2026?: Yes97%Mon 5 Oct
  73. US Average Gas Price Is $4.4200 or more on October 5 2026?: No78%Sun 4 Oct
  74. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?: 39%+90%Sun 4 Oct
  75. Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: Yes98%Mon 5 Oct
  76. Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner: Luciano Zucco87%Mon 5 Oct
  77. Bahia Governor Election Winner: Jerônimo Rodrigues62%Mon 5 Oct
  78. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?: 2-4%42%Sun 4 Oct
  79. Maldives vs. Lebanon: Lebanon82%Thu 1 Oct
  80. US Average DIESEL Price Is $6.3000 or more on October 5 2026?: Yes91%Mon 5 Oct
  81. Brazil 2026 Election: Will the presidential election be decided in first round?: No96%Sun 4 Oct
  82. Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida100%Wed 7 Oct
  83. Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia: Australia100%Wed 7 Oct
  84. Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs: Jiri Lehecka86%Wed 7 Oct
  85. Will Caroline Ellison serve the full 24 months in prison?: No99%Fri 2 Oct
  86. Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner: AS99%Sun 4 Oct
  87. Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  88. Valorant: TYLOO vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C: Team Liquid80%Thu 1 Oct
  89. Spread: Colts (-3.5): Colts53%Sun 4 Oct
  90. Will OpenAI be granted a trademark on "GPT" (in the U.S.)?: No90%Thu 1 Oct
  91. São Paulo Governor Election Winner: did not happen100%Mon 5 Oct
  92. Will Serie be alive at the end of the Foundation Festival arc?: Yes72%Thu 1 Oct
  93. Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC59%Wed 7 Oct
  94. When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?: No release by November 175%Sun 4 Oct
  95. Will Guadians starting pitcher Gavin Williams finish the 2026 MLB regular season with an ERA below 4.00: Yes99%Mon 5 Oct
  96. Will Calvin Wang submit the 21W.023 Discussion Post Homework on time? (Writing Advice from Stephen King): Yes58%Wed 7 Oct
  97. Will the Israeli government significantly undermine the next election?: No92%Thu 1 Oct
  98. Paraíba Governor Election Winner: Lucas Ribeiro93%Mon 5 Oct
  99. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Goiás: Flavio Bolsonaro96%Mon 5 Oct
  100. Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2: Mayweather51%Sun 4 Oct
  101. Will Tesla announce on October 1, 2026 that the new Roadster can accelerate from 0 to 60 mph in under 1 second?: No71%Sat 3 Oct
  102. LoL: South Korea vs Saudi Arabia - Game 1 Winner: South Korea100%Thu 1 Oct
  103. Bitcoin price on October 1?: 84,000-86,00065%Thu 1 Oct
  104. Spread: Browns (-3.5): Steelers54%Fri 2 Oct
  105. NFL Week 4: Will the Philadelphia Eagles defeat the Los Angeles Rams by 3 or more points in Week 4?: No62%Sun 4 Oct
  106. Pernambuco Governor Election Winner: João Campos52%Mon 5 Oct
  107. Maranhão Governor Election Winner: Eduardo Braide90%Mon 5 Oct
  108. Colts vs. Commanders: Colts63%Sun 4 Oct
  109. Jingshan: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Kyoka Okamura: Kyoka Okamura87%Wed 7 Oct
  110. LoL: South Korea vs Saudi Arabia (BO3) - Asian Games Playoffs: South Korea100%Thu 1 Oct
  111. Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?: Denis Bećirović79%Mon 5 Oct
  112. Will Übel figure out a way to cut through her ropes?: Yes81%Thu 1 Oct
  113. Roraima Senate Election: 2nd Place: Nicoletti54%Mon 5 Oct
  114. Paraná Senate Election: 1st Place: Deltan Dallagnol59%Mon 5 Oct
  115. Daily Coinflip: Yes50%Fri 2 Oct
  116. Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place: Michelle Bolsonaro95%Mon 5 Oct
  117. Will the address for math.eg.rego.re receive more than $50 before Oct 1 UTC-12?: No85%Thu 1 Oct
  118. Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, October 2, 2026? (Closes early): No51%Fri 2 Oct
  119. Elected Governor of Ceará in 2026: Elmano de Freitas65%Sun 4 Oct
  120. Belgium vs. Türkiye: Belgium58%Fri 2 Oct
  121. Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage: PARIVISION52%Sat 3 Oct
  122. Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner : Jorginho Mello100%Mon 5 Oct
  123. Will our Steam game Heartseeker surpass 1000 sales by Oct 5th 2026 (5th anniversary of release)?: No90%Tue 6 Oct
  124. Will the Trump administration successfully overturn the Anthropic injunction on appeal by September 30, 2026?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  125. Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place: Teresa Surita64%Mon 5 Oct
  126. Counter-Strike: BIG vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs: BIG63%Thu 1 Oct
  127. Goiás Governor Election Winner: Daniel Vilela97%Mon 5 Oct
  128. Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  129. France vs. Italy: France67%Fri 2 Oct
  130. Will I get a 43+ predicted IB score?: Yes64%Sun 4 Oct
  131. Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held: PL95%Mon 5 Oct
  132. Asian Games Men: India vs Sri Lanka: India92%Thu 8 Oct
  133. Will I find someone from Manifold Markets to do flat viewings for me in London?: No88%Wed 7 Oct
  134. Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place: Carlos Jordy44%Mon 5 Oct
  135. Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: No99%Mon 5 Oct
  136. Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place: Domingos Sávio57%Mon 5 Oct
  137. Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place: Carlos Viana36%Mon 5 Oct
  138. Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 1st Place: Marcel Van Hattem80%Mon 5 Oct
  139. Will this market close below 50%?: No51%Mon 5 Oct
  140. Quebec General Election: Second Place: PLQ88%Tue 6 Oct
  141. Acre Governor Election Winner: Mailza Assis71%Mon 5 Oct
  142. Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kei Nishikori vs Frances Tiafoe: Frances Tiafoe93%Wed 7 Oct
  143. Will OpenAI broadly release a dedicated Cyber model to Trusted Access users by Sep 30, 2026?: No68%Thu 1 Oct
  144. Croatia vs. England: England60%Sat 3 Oct
  145. Next Croat President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?: Darijana Filipović57%Mon 5 Oct
  146. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais: Lula79%Mon 5 Oct
  147. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 2?: Yes99%Fri 2 Oct
  148. W15 Maanshan: Ha Yoon Son vs Darja Suvirdjonkova: Ha Yoon Son100%Wed 7 Oct
  149. Elected Senators for Ceará in 2026: Cid Gomes52%Sun 4 Oct
  150. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District: Flavio Bolsonaro97%Mon 5 Oct
  151. Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place: Sanderson64%Mon 5 Oct
  152. Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 1?: 25°C76%Thu 1 Oct
  153. Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5): Nemiga65%Thu 1 Oct
  154. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 2?: No96%Fri 2 Oct
  155. Pará Governor Election Winner: Hana Ghassan57%Mon 5 Oct
  156. Amapá Senate Election: 1st Place: Rayssa Furlan90%Mon 5 Oct
  157. Asian Games Men: Pakistan vs Bangladesh: Pakistan100%Thu 8 Oct
  158. Big Brother Season 28 Winner: Rick Devens48%Thu 1 Oct
  159. Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place: Carol de Toni73%Mon 5 Oct
  160. Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs: B856%Thu 1 Oct
  161. Sergipe Governor Election Winner: Fábio85%Mon 5 Oct
  162. Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place: Styvenson Valentim79%Mon 5 Oct
  163. Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place: Dr. Fernando Máximo67%Mon 5 Oct
  164. Spread: Cardinals (-1.5): Cardinals55%Sun 4 Oct
  165. Will "Digger" earn more than $25M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend: No67%Mon 5 Oct
  166. Goiás Senate Election: 2nd Place: Gustavo Gayer51%Mon 5 Oct
  167. Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place: Rui Costa97%Mon 5 Oct
  168. Cowboys vs. Texans: Texans66%Sun 4 Oct
  169. Acre Senate Election: 1st Place: Marcio Bittar37%Mon 5 Oct
  170. Acre Senate Election: 2nd Place: Marcio Bittar41%Mon 5 Oct
  171. Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place: Carlos Jordy48%Mon 5 Oct
  172. Amazonas Governor Election Winner: Omar Aziz69%Mon 5 Oct
  173. Highest temperature in Cape Town on October 1?: 27°C or higher72%Thu 1 Oct
  174. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amazonas: Lula88%Mon 5 Oct
  175. Uzbekistan vs. Syria: Uzbekistan76%Thu 1 Oct
  176. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 1?: Yes91%Thu 1 Oct
  177. Italy vs. Türkiye: Italy65%Mon 5 Oct
  178. Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place: Carlos Bolsonaro62%Mon 5 Oct
  179. LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage: BNK FEARX71%Sat 3 Oct
  180. NFL Week 4: Will the Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Cleveland Browns by 3 or more points on Thursday Night Football?: Yes52%Fri 2 Oct
  181. Tocantins Senate Election: 1st Place: Eduardo Gomes84%Mon 5 Oct
  182. China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia: Sonay Kartal100%Thu 8 Oct
  183. Elected Senators for Rio de Janeiro in 2026: Carlos Jordy (PL)31%Sun 4 Oct
  184. Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place: Alexandre Guimarães33%Mon 5 Oct
  185. Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?: Up56%Thu 1 Oct
  186. Paraná Senate Election: 2nd Place: Alexandre Curi44%Mon 5 Oct
  187. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul: Flavio Bolsonaro91%Mon 5 Oct
  188. Tunisia vs. Mali: Draw (Tunisia vs. Mali)93%Sat 3 Oct
  189. Brazil 2026 Election: Will the U.S. impose new Global Magnitsky sanctions on a Brazilian before the elections?: No86%Sat 3 Oct
  190. Quebec General Election: PLQ # Seats?: 36-3939%Tue 6 Oct
  191. China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli: Flavio Cobolli52%Wed 7 Oct
  192. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 2?: Yes97%Fri 2 Oct
  193. Piura Mayoral Election Winner: Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi57%Mon 5 Oct
  194. Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner : Ricardo Ferraço58%Mon 5 Oct
  195. Maranhão Senate Election: 1st Place: Roseana Sarney51%Mon 5 Oct
  196. Will I get demoted to Bronze in Season 41?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  197. Paraíba Senate Election: 1st Place: Joao Azevêdo92%Mon 5 Oct
  198. Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place: Delegado André David29%Mon 5 Oct
  199. Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner: Allyson71%Mon 5 Oct
  200. Federal District Governor Election Winner: Celina Leão98%Mon 5 Oct
  201. Dodgers return to World Series in 2026?: No60%Thu 1 Oct
  202. Rondônia Senate Election: 2nd Place: Sílvia Cristina39%Mon 5 Oct
  203. Mato Grosso Governor Election Winner: Otaviano Pivetta59%Mon 5 Oct
  204. Paraíba Senate Election: 2nd Place: Veneziano71%Mon 5 Oct
  205. Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?: did not happen54%Sun 4 Oct
  206. Spread: Lions (-3.5): Lions51%Mon 5 Oct
  207. Will Brazil approve Daniel Perez as U.S. ambassador before its 2026 presidential election?: No87%Sat 3 Oct
  208. Mato Grosso Senate Election: 1st Place: Mauro Mendes85%Mon 5 Oct
  209. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 1?: No87%Thu 1 Oct
  210. Ceará Senate Election: 2nd Place: Capitão Wagner65%Mon 5 Oct
  211. Will September 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?: No75%Fri 2 Oct
  212. # of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?: 35–40M27%Tue 6 Oct
  213. Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place: Eduardo Braga81%Mon 5 Oct
  214. Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place: Cid Gomes44%Mon 5 Oct
  215. Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 28-October 4?: No98%Mon 5 Oct
  216. Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4?: No93%Mon 5 Oct
  217. Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 2?: No99%Fri 2 Oct
  218. Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place: Humberto Costa57%Mon 5 Oct
  219. Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place: Marcelo Castro66%Mon 5 Oct
  220. Argentina vs. Burkina Faso: Argentina82%Sat 3 Oct
  221. Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?: No96%Mon 5 Oct
  222. Alagoas Senate Election: 2nd Place: Marina JHC38%Mon 5 Oct
  223. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Pará: Lula95%Mon 5 Oct
  224. Espírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd Place: Sergio Meneguelli61%Mon 5 Oct
  225. Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 1?: 21°C75%Thu 1 Oct
  226. Azerbaijan vs. Liechtenstein: Azerbaijan77%Thu 1 Oct
  227. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Tocantins: Lula63%Mon 5 Oct
  228. Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place: Marília Arraes90%Mon 5 Oct
  229. Spread: Rams (-3.5): Eagles51%Sun 4 Oct
  230. UFC 332: Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj (Bantamweight, Prelims): Bernardo Sopaj51%Sun 4 Oct
  231. Highest temperature in Wuhan on October 1?: 22°C68%Thu 1 Oct
  232. Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen: Carlos Alcaraz84%Wed 7 Oct
  233. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rondônia: Flavio Bolsonaro94%Mon 5 Oct
  234. Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place: Zenaide Maia45%Mon 5 Oct
  235. Trujillo Mayoral Election Winner: Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas38%Mon 5 Oct
  236. Spread: Steelers (-3.5): Browns56%Fri 2 Oct
  237. Elected Senators for Minas Gerais in 2026: Marília Campos40%Sun 4 Oct
  238. China Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Francisco Cerundolo: Botic van de Zandschulp76%Thu 8 Oct
  239. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7?: No87%Thu 8 Oct
  240. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  241. Highest temperature in Guangzhou on October 1?: 36°C53%Thu 1 Oct
  242. Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place: Weverton Rocha39%Mon 5 Oct
  243. Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 1?: 33°C57%Thu 1 Oct
  244. Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?: No release by October 3156%Thu 1 Oct
  245. Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?: Bolsonaro95%Mon 5 Oct
  246. Pará Senate Election: 2nd Place: Delegado Éder Mauro51%Mon 5 Oct
  247. Alagoas Senate Election: 1st Place: Marina JHC46%Mon 5 Oct
  248. Government shutdown by October 1?: No100%Fri 2 Oct
  249. Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner: Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes41%Mon 5 Oct
  250. Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D: Aurora56%Thu 1 Oct
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within seven days, then reported as though they already had.