67%Carlos Alcaraz defeated Denis Shapovalov at Japan Open49%Saudi military action on Oct 8 coincided with surge in Strait traffic56%Tomáš Portlík elected Mayor of Prague34%Elon Musk posted 200-219 tweets as Khamenei posted fewer than five25%Donald Trump publicly insulted someone on Oct. 561%Unabomber topped Netflix movies as East of Eden placed second show51%Packers defeated Buccaneers while underdogs covered spreads

AHEAD OF PRINT

The week ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Sunday, 4 October 2026
Edition of Sunday, 11 October 2026

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Sun 4 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within seven days — by Sunday, 11 October 2026.

Sports

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Denis Shapovalov at Japan Open

Carlos Alcaraz and Karen Khachanov won their matches, while Diana Shnaider and Max Purcell also claimed victories.

67% certain
lead market 67%next 34%1 venuesettles Sun 11 Oct

The October Asian hard-court swing produced notable wins in both Japan and China. Carlos Alcaraz, Karen Khachanov, Diana Shnaider and Max Purcell each secured victories.

In Tokyo, the Japan Open final pitted Carlos Alcaraz against Denis Shapovalov. Alcaraz emerged victorious, defeating Shapovalov to claim the title. The win added another hard-court triumph to his season.

Read the full report

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Colts vs. Commanders: Colts63%Sun 4 Oct
  2. Spread: Colts (-3.5): Colts53%Sun 4 Oct
  3. Elon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026?: 220-23934%Tue 6 Oct
  4. Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov: Carlos Alcaraz100%Sun 11 Oct
  5. Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 200-21943%Fri 9 Oct
  6. Packers vs. Buccaneers: Packers55%Sun 4 Oct
  7. Spread: Packers (-3.5): Buccaneers55%Sun 4 Oct
  8. Spread: Cardinals (-2.5): Giants54%Sun 4 Oct
  9. Rams vs. Eagles: Rams61%Sun 4 Oct
  10. Spread: Bills (-6.5): Bills57%Sun 4 Oct
  11. China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov: Karen Khachanov67%Sun 11 Oct
  12. Spread: Vikings (-3.5): Vikings53%Sun 4 Oct
  13. Cowboys vs. Texans: Texans68%Sun 4 Oct
  14. Broncos vs. 49ers: O/U 47.5: Over60%Sun 4 Oct
  15. Spread: 49ers (-2.5): 49ers54%Sun 4 Oct
  16. Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?: Yes66%Fri 9 Oct
  17. Jets vs. Bears: Bears61%Sun 4 Oct
  18. Spread: Rams (-3.5): Eagles51%Sun 4 Oct
  19. Jaguars vs. Bengals: Bengals58%Sun 4 Oct
  20. China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Diana Shnaider: Diana Shnaider80%Sun 11 Oct
  21. Spread: Bengals (-2.5): Bengals62%Sun 4 Oct
  22. Dolphins vs. Vikings: Vikings65%Sun 4 Oct
  23. Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5): Packers80%Sun 4 Oct
  24. Spread: Texans (-2.5): Texans55%Sun 4 Oct
  25. Wuning 3: Max Purcell vs Julien De Cuyper: Max Purcell85%Sun 11 Oct
  26. Spread: Ravens (-3.5): Ravens61%Sun 4 Oct
  27. Chiefs vs. Raiders: Chiefs62%Sun 4 Oct
  28. Spread: Raiders (-3.5): Chiefs56%Sun 4 Oct
  29. What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?: Unabomber95%Tue 6 Oct
  30. Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 10, 2026?: No91%Sun 11 Oct
  31. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 29 - October 6, 2026?: 160-17925%Tue 6 Oct
  32. Next Mayor of Prague: Tomáš Portlík56%Sat 10 Oct
  33. How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28?: 30-3449%Sun 4 Oct
  34. Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 5, 2026?: Yes86%Tue 6 Oct
  35. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 200+30%Fri 9 Oct
  36. What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?: East of Eden: Limited Series61%Tue 6 Oct
  37. How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 28?: 190-20986%Sun 4 Oct
  38. Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?: No74%Mon 5 Oct
  39. Khamenei # posts September 29 - October 6, 2026?: <598%Tue 6 Oct
  40. Zelenskyy # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 80-9946%Fri 9 Oct
  41. Next Mayor of Liberec: Lukáš Hájek68%Sat 10 Oct
  42. Next Mayor of Ostrava: Richard Vereš72%Sat 10 Oct
  43. NYC Mayor # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 20-3979%Fri 9 Oct
  44. What will be the top US Netflix show this week?: did not happen99%Tue 6 Oct
  45. Brazil Presidential Election: Flávio Bolsonaro62%Mon 5 Oct
  46. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms22%Sat 10 Oct
  47. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Flávio Bolsonaro61%Mon 5 Oct
  48. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place: Renan Santos58%Mon 5 Oct
  49. Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner: Lula61%Mon 5 Oct
  50. Quebec General Election Winner: PQ97%Tue 6 Oct
  51. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 4?: Yes94%Sun 4 Oct
  52. Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: Yes97%Mon 5 Oct
  53. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Lula da Silva <5%50%Mon 5 Oct
  54. Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?: No93%Mon 5 Oct
  55. Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4?: No97%Mon 5 Oct
  56. Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4?: No97%Mon 5 Oct
  57. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?: 2-4%66%Sun 4 Oct
  58. Lima Mayoral Election Winner: Rafael López Aliaga90%Mon 5 Oct
  59. Greece vs. Germany: Germany63%Sun 4 Oct
  60. Ceará Governor Election Winner: Elmano de Freitas68%Mon 5 Oct
  61. Patriots vs. Bills: Bills67%Sun 4 Oct
  62. # of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?: 45M+97%Tue 6 Oct
  63. Elected Governor of Minas Gerais in 2026: Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos)85%Sun 4 Oct
  64. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?: 39%+94%Sun 4 Oct
  65. Paraná Governor Election Winner: Sergio Moro72%Mon 5 Oct
  66. Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place: Bia Kicis86%Mon 5 Oct
  67. Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: Yes98%Mon 5 Oct
  68. Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner: Eduardo Paes78%Mon 5 Oct
  69. Bahia Governor Election Winner: Jerônimo Rodrigues69%Mon 5 Oct
  70. Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner: Cleitinho Azevedo98%Mon 5 Oct
  71. Cardinals vs. Giants: Cardinals54%Sun 4 Oct
  72. Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner: Luciano Zucco87%Mon 5 Oct
  73. São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place: Guilherme Derrite81%Mon 5 Oct
  74. Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?: Yes68%Mon 5 Oct
  75. Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  76. Netherlands vs. Serbia: Netherlands84%Sun 4 Oct
  77. Portugal vs. Norway: Portugal71%Sun 4 Oct
  78. Wales vs. Denmark: Denmark64%Sun 4 Oct
  79. When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?: No release by November 177%Sun 4 Oct
  80. Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner: PL70%Mon 5 Oct
  81. Pernambuco Governor Election Winner: João Campos50%Mon 5 Oct
  82. São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place: André do Prado74%Mon 5 Oct
  83. Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?: Yes98%Wed 7 Oct
  84. "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office: <17m99%Sun 4 Oct
  85. Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 September 28-October 4?: No98%Mon 5 Oct
  86. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Goiás: Flavio Bolsonaro97%Mon 5 Oct
  87. Piauí Governor Election Winner: Rafael Fonteles99%Mon 5 Oct
  88. Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  89. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais: Lula60%Mon 5 Oct
  90. Croatia vs. Spain: Spain66%Tue 6 Oct
  91. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?: 44%+75%Sun 4 Oct
  92. Amapá Senate Election: 1st Place: Rayssa Furlan95%Mon 5 Oct
  93. Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: Republic of Ireland63%Sun 4 Oct
  94. Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  95. AI beats human baseline on PostTrainBench by 1 Oct 2026?: No98%Tue 6 Oct
  96. Elected Governor of Ceará in 2026: Elmano de Freitas68%Sun 4 Oct
  97. Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place: Eduardo Braga82%Mon 5 Oct
  98. Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place: Rui Costa99%Mon 5 Oct
  99. Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held: PL97%Mon 5 Oct
  100. Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 1st Place: Marcel Van Hattem82%Mon 5 Oct
  101. Next Croat President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?: Slaven Kovačević46%Mon 5 Oct
  102. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District: Flavio Bolsonaro98%Mon 5 Oct
  103. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 4?: No97%Sun 4 Oct
  104. Italy vs. Türkiye: Italy74%Mon 5 Oct
  105. Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 28-October 4?: No95%Mon 5 Oct
  106. Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: did not happen60%Wed 7 Oct
  107. Paraná Senate Election: 1st Place: Filipe Barros69%Mon 5 Oct
  108. Bahia Senate Election: 2nd Place: Jaques Wagner73%Mon 5 Oct
  109. "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes): <9m98%Sun 4 Oct
  110. Spread: Lions (-3.5): Lions52%Mon 5 Oct
  111. "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office: 28m+100%Sun 4 Oct
  112. Maranhão Governor Election Winner: Eduardo Braide90%Mon 5 Oct
  113. FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: FC Barcelona86%Sat 10 Oct
  114. Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 28-October 4?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  115. Acre Governor Election Winner: Mailza Assis67%Mon 5 Oct
  116. Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place: Carlos Jordy61%Mon 5 Oct
  117. Valorant: LOUD vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B: LOUD56%Sun 4 Oct
  118. Bitcoin price on October 4?: 84,000-86,00069%Sun 4 Oct
  119. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 4?: No91%Sun 4 Oct
  120. Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place: Domingos Sávio81%Mon 5 Oct
  121. Pará Senate Election: 1st Place: Helder95%Mon 5 Oct
  122. Espírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd Place: Maguinha Malta60%Mon 5 Oct
  123. Counter-Strike: Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage: Spirit82%Sun 4 Oct
  124. Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 28-October 4?: No99%Mon 5 Oct
  125. Will Romeu Zema qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  126. Paraná Senate Election: 2nd Place: Filipe Barros42%Mon 5 Oct
  127. Pará Governor Election Winner: Dr. Daniel Santos53%Mon 5 Oct
  128. Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place: Sanderson62%Mon 5 Oct
  129. Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place: Marília Campos50%Mon 5 Oct
  130. Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?: Željka Cvijanović97%Mon 5 Oct
  131. Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 28-October 4?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  132. Mato Grosso Senate Election: 1st Place: Mauro Mendes81%Mon 5 Oct
  133. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Tocantins: Flavio Bolsonaro63%Mon 5 Oct
  134. Will Ethereum reach $3,100 September 28-October 4?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  135. LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage: BNK FEARX60%Sun 4 Oct
  136. Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner: Allyson50%Mon 5 Oct
  137. China Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Mirra Andreeva: Mirra Andreeva95%Sun 11 Oct
  138. Spread: Panthers (-3.5): Lions73%Mon 5 Oct
  139. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 4?: Yes100%Sun 4 Oct
  140. Elected Senators for Ceará in 2026: Cid Gomes45%Sun 4 Oct
  141. Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?: No99%Tue 6 Oct
  142. Mato Grosso Governor Election Winner: Otaviano Pivetta86%Mon 5 Oct
  143. Spread: Bears (-3.5): Jets55%Sun 4 Oct
  144. Sergipe Governor Election Winner: Fábio67%Mon 5 Oct
  145. Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?: No99%Mon 5 Oct
  146. Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee: Raphael Glucksmann89%Sat 10 Oct
  147. Elected Senators for Rio de Janeiro in 2026: Carlos Portinho (PL)48%Sun 4 Oct
  148. Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: Real Madrid CF89%Sat 10 Oct
  149. Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 28-October 4?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  150. Spread: Chiefs (-4.5): Chiefs59%Sun 4 Oct
  151. Valorant: FUT Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A: T152%Sun 4 Oct
  152. Lions vs. Panthers: O/U 50.5: Over58%Mon 5 Oct
  153. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Augusto Cury Vote Share?: 2-4%62%Sun 4 Oct
  154. Spread: Saints (-2.5): Falcons54%Tue 6 Oct
  155. Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place: Carol de Toni88%Mon 5 Oct
  156. Quebec General Election: CAQ # Seats?: <574%Tue 6 Oct
  157. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 4?: No56%Sun 4 Oct
  158. US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?: Yes91%Fri 9 Oct
  159. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 5?: Yes97%Mon 5 Oct
  160. "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes): 30-32m70%Sun 4 Oct
  161. Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage: Team Falcons60%Sun 4 Oct
  162. Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?: No release by October 3165%Mon 5 Oct
  163. Mato Grosso Senate Election: 2nd Place: Janaina Riva60%Mon 5 Oct
  164. Titans vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5: Under62%Sun 4 Oct
  165. Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 28-October 4?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  166. Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage: Vitality74%Sun 4 Oct
  167. Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 28-October 4?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  168. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo: Flavio Bolsonaro96%Mon 5 Oct
  169. Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4?: Up54%Sun 4 Oct
  170. Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place: Cid Gomes75%Mon 5 Oct
  171. Hegseth, Patel, or RFK is out within the next 90 days: No96%Mon 5 Oct
  172. Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?: did not happen60%Sun 4 Oct
  173. Elected Senators for Minas Gerais in 2026: Domingos Sávio40%Sun 4 Oct
  174. Paraíba Governor Election Winner: Lucas Ribeiro97%Mon 5 Oct
  175. Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5): Spirit55%Sun 4 Oct
  176. Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  177. Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 4?: 30°C72%Sun 4 Oct
  178. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro: Flavio Bolsonaro97%Mon 5 Oct
  179. Ethereum Up or Down on October 4?: Up79%Sun 4 Oct
  180. Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 4?: No99%Sun 4 Oct
  181. Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?: Bolsonaro87%Mon 5 Oct
  182. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 4?: Yes90%Sun 4 Oct
  183. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Pará: Lula95%Mon 5 Oct
  184. Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5): Natus Vincere53%Sun 4 Oct
  185. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share? (Higher Strikes): 45-48%40%Mon 5 Oct
  186. Tocantins Senate Election: 1st Place: Eduardo Gomes84%Mon 5 Oct
  187. Spread: Seahawks (-7.5): Chargers57%Sun 4 Oct
  188. Argentina vs. Benin: Argentina92%Tue 6 Oct
  189. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul: Flavio Bolsonaro97%Mon 5 Oct
  190. Elected governor for Rio Grande do Sul in 2026: Luciano Zucco78%Sun 4 Oct
  191. Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place: Renato Casagrande94%Mon 5 Oct
  192. England vs. Czechia: England73%Tue 6 Oct
  193. Federal District Governor Election Winner: Celina Leão98%Mon 5 Oct
  194. Highest temperature in Wellington on October 4?: 13°C80%Sun 4 Oct
  195. Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?: Yes62%Mon 5 Oct
  196. Rondônia Senate Election: 2nd Place: did not happen58%Mon 5 Oct
  197. "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office: 12-13m69%Sun 4 Oct
  198. Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place: Nicoletti95%Mon 5 Oct
  199. Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place: did not happen65%Mon 5 Oct
  200. Acre Senate Election: 2nd Place: did not happen54%Mon 5 Oct
  201. Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 4?: 24°C76%Sun 4 Oct
  202. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 4?: Yes99%Sun 4 Oct
  203. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Ceará: Lula99%Mon 5 Oct
  204. Alagoas Senate Election: 1st Place: Marina JHC77%Mon 5 Oct
  205. Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 4?: 23°C78%Sun 4 Oct
  206. Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place: did not happen87%Mon 5 Oct
  207. LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage: HANJIN BRION52%Sun 4 Oct
  208. Highest temperature in Guangzhou on October 4?: 33°C65%Sun 4 Oct
  209. Elected Senators for Alagoas in 2026: Arthur Lira32%Sun 4 Oct
  210. Elected Governor of Rio de Janeiro in 2026: Eduardo Paes66%Sun 4 Oct
  211. #2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 28?: DeepSeek82%Tue 6 Oct
  212. Reserve Bank of India decision in October: 25 bps increase86%Wed 7 Oct
  213. Will I get a positive pregnancy test in the next two weeks?: No91%Sat 10 Oct
  214. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Bahia: Lula99%Mon 5 Oct
  215. Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?: No92%Mon 5 Oct
  216. Cusco Mayoral Election Winner: did not happen55%Mon 5 Oct
  217. Elected Senators for Rio Grande do Sul in 2026: Marcel van Hattem45%Sun 4 Oct
  218. Acre Senate Election: 1st Place: did not happen77%Mon 5 Oct
  219. Elected Governor of São Paulo in 2026: Tarcísio de Freitas94%Sun 4 Oct
  220. Goiás Senate Election: 1st Place: Gracinha Caiado54%Mon 5 Oct
  221. Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner : did not happen56%Mon 5 Oct
  222. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo: Flavio Bolsonaro96%Mon 5 Oct
  223. Kyrgyz Republic vs. Lebanon: Kyrgyz Republic49%Sun 4 Oct
  224. Sydney Roosters win 2026 NRL Grand Final?: Yes66%Sun 4 Oct
  225. Elected Senators for São Paulo in 2026: Guilherme Derrite39%Sun 4 Oct
  226. Spread: Norway (-2.5): Portugal96%Sun 4 Oct
  227. Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs: Astralis60%Sun 4 Oct
  228. Chargers vs. Seahawks: Seahawks76%Sun 4 Oct
  229. Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks99%Fri 9 Oct
  230. Will Calvin Wang submit the 21W.023 Discussion Post Homework on time? (Writing Advice from Stephen King): Yes83%Wed 7 Oct
  231. Highest temperature in Paris on October 4?: 25°C51%Sun 4 Oct
  232. Malta vs. Andorra: Malta80%Sun 4 Oct
  233. US Average DIESEL Price Is $6.3000 or more on October 5 2026?: Yes87%Mon 5 Oct
  234. Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place: did not happen75%Mon 5 Oct
  235. Highest temperature in Busan on October 4?: 26°C69%Sun 4 Oct
  236. LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage: KT Rolster96%Sun 4 Oct
  237. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amapá: Flavio Bolsonaro61%Mon 5 Oct
  238. Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place: did not happen87%Mon 5 Oct
  239. Highest temperature in London on October 4?: 22°C49%Sun 4 Oct
  240. Spread: Greece (-2.5): Germany95%Sun 4 Oct
  241. Highest temperature in Los Angeles on October 4?: 96-97°F32%Sun 4 Oct
  242. Highest temperature in Chongqing on October 4?: 20°C63%Sun 4 Oct
  243. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share? (Higher Strikes): 44-47%59%Mon 5 Oct
  244. FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München81%Sat 10 Oct
  245. Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: Arsenal FC85%Sat 10 Oct
  246. Highest temperature in Wuhan on October 4?: 24°C56%Sun 4 Oct
  247. Israel military action against Lebanon on October 6?: Yes78%Wed 7 Oct
  248. China Open: Linda Noskova vs Viktorija Golubic: Linda Noskova88%Sun 11 Oct
  249. Falcons vs. Saints: Saints53%Tue 6 Oct
  250. How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 28 - October 4?: ≤663%Mon 5 Oct
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within seven days, then reported as though they already had.