48%Olivia Chow won Toronto mayoralty76%Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised rates by 25 basis points42%Yashar won Israeli election as Likud lost seats16%Gemini-4-Argon-High topped AI model rankings on Oct 2641%Flávio Bolsonaro elected Brazil president by sub-4% Margin36%Ali G: who Iz I? Opened under $2 million61%T1 defeated LOS in Worlds group stage upset

AHEAD OF PRINT

The week ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Thursday, 22 October 2026
Edition of Thursday, 29 October 2026

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Thu 22 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within seven days — by Thursday, 29 October 2026.

Politics

Olivia Chow won Toronto mayoralty

Mark Sutcliffe secured Ottawa, while Frank Scarpitti was re-elected in Markham.

48% certain
lead market 48%next 31%1 venuesettles Tue 27 Oct

On Tuesday, October 27, municipal voters in several Ontario cities chose new mayors. Olivia Chow defeated Brad Bradford to become mayor of Toronto. In the capital city, Mark Sutcliffe was re-elected as Ottawa's mayor, while Frank Scarpitti retained the mayoralty in Markham.

The same Tuesday saw Bonnie Crombie win the Mississauga Mayoral race over her challengers. Tito-Dante Marimpietri emerged victorious in Oshawa, defeating Jim Lee. Martin Ritsma secured the mayor's office in Stratford, and Erwin Wiens was elected mayor of Niagara-on-the-Lake. All of these contests concluded with the declared winners on October 27.

Read the full report

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot49%Wed 28 Oct
  2. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro74%Sun 25 Oct
  3. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory: Flávio Bolsonaro <4%41%Mon 26 Oct
  4. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Yashar68%Wed 28 Oct
  5. Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: 20-2442%Wed 28 Oct
  6. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá: Flavio Bolsonaro72%Mon 26 Oct
  7. Toronto Mayoral Election Winner: Olivia Chow51%Tue 27 Oct
  8. Will Israel election happen as scheduled?: Yes91%Wed 28 Oct
  9. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará: Lula86%Mon 26 Oct
  10. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad: Lula75%Mon 26 Oct
  11. Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner: Mark Sutcliffe84%Tue 27 Oct
  12. Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place: Together80%Wed 28 Oct
  13. LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage: Dplus KIA61%Sat 24 Oct
  14. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas: Lula60%Mon 26 Oct
  15. Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?: Flávio Bolsonaro76%Mon 26 Oct
  16. LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage: Anyone's Legend66%Sat 24 Oct
  17. Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?: 25 bps increase76%Wed 28 Oct
  18. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout: 78-80%58%Mon 26 Oct
  19. Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?: did not happen83%Sun 25 Oct
  20. Oshawa, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Tito-Dante Marimpietri95%Tue 27 Oct
  21. Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place: Likud66%Wed 28 Oct
  22. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais: Flavio Bolsonaro94%Mon 26 Oct
  23. Israel election: will Likud lose seats?: Yes96%Wed 28 Oct
  24. LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage: Gen.G78%Fri 23 Oct
  25. No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?: No change98%Tue 27 Oct
  26. LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage: Hanwha Life Esports79%Sat 24 Oct
  27. Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory: Ruas 5-10%51%Mon 26 Oct
  28. Mississauga Mayoral Election Winner: Bonnie Crombie48%Tue 27 Oct
  29. Winnipeg Mayoral Election: Scott Gillingham97%Thu 29 Oct
  30. Markham, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Frank Scarpitti98%Tue 27 Oct
  31. Huon Valley Mayoral Election Winner: Abby McKibben63%Wed 28 Oct
  32. Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?: No86%Wed 28 Oct
  33. Stratford, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Martin Ritsma79%Tue 27 Oct
  34. Niagara-on-the-Lake, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Erwin Wiens63%Tue 27 Oct
  35. "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office: <22m61%Sun 25 Oct
  36. Best AI model on October 26?: gemini-4-argon-high93%Tue 27 Oct
  37. "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office: <2M93%Sun 25 Oct
  38. LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage: T188%Sat 24 Oct
  39. Will Anthropic release a new Claude Fable model before October 26, 2026?: No82%Sun 25 Oct
  40. "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office: 14m-16m36%Sun 25 Oct
  41. "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office: 11M+97%Sun 25 Oct
  42. Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?: No94%Thu 29 Oct
  43. Will the UK Budget include an increase to fuel duty?: No93%Thu 29 Oct
  44. When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?: October 26–November 116%Tue 27 Oct
  45. "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office: 8-11M69%Sun 25 Oct
  46. Fed Decision in October?: No change86%Thu 29 Oct
  47. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane70%Tue 27 Oct
  48. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić66%Sun 25 Oct
  49. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia67%Sun 25 Oct
  50. # of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?: 60-80M97%Fri 23 Oct
  51. Bulgaria Presidential Election: Iliana Iotova91%Mon 26 Oct
  52. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?: Yes91%Thu 22 Oct
  53. Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Iotova 10-20%43%Sun 25 Oct
  54. Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?: 260-27925%Fri 23 Oct
  55. Bank of Canada Decision in October?: 25 bps increase83%Wed 28 Oct
  56. FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: FC Barcelona66%Sun 25 Oct
  57. Bank of Russia decision in October?: No Change81%Sat 24 Oct
  58. NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?: No100%Fri 23 Oct
  59. Cali: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Gonzalo Bueno: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna54%Wed 28 Oct
  60. Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima: Moyuka Uchijima66%Thu 29 Oct
  61. British Columbia General Election Winner: Conservative88%Sat 24 Oct
  62. Next Premier of British Columbia: Lorne Doerkson86%Sat 24 Oct
  63. Fed interest rate decision — October 2026: No change82%Wed 28 Oct
  64. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  65. AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: AFC Bournemouth60%Thu 22 Oct
  66. Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolini: Iva Jovic84%Wed 28 Oct
  67. Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Liverpool FC50%Sun 25 Oct
  68. Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026?: Yes89%Fri 23 Oct
  69. Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?: No release by October 3134%Fri 23 Oct
  70. Chiefs vs. Seahawks: Seahawks55%Mon 26 Oct
  71. Bitcoin price on October 22?: 82,000-84,00065%Thu 22 Oct
  72. Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?: Down95%Thu 22 Oct
  73. UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card): Petr Yan59%Sun 25 Oct
  74. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 22?: No96%Thu 22 Oct
  75. Celtic FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5: Over54%Thu 22 Oct
  76. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 22?: Yes96%Thu 22 Oct
  77. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?: Yes72%Thu 22 Oct
  78. Test Match: South Africa vs Australia: South Africa83%Sun 25 Oct
  79. # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Higher Brackets): <150M96%Sat 24 Oct
  80. Will Apple release a foldable phone before 2028?: Yes99%Fri 23 Oct
  81. Serbia Election: Student List Vote Share?: 40-45%26%Sun 25 Oct
  82. M25 Tamworth: Blake Ellis vs Benjamin O'Connell: Blake Ellis90%Wed 28 Oct
  83. Ethereum price on October 22?: 2,400-2,50080%Thu 22 Oct
  84. Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC: Beşiktaş JK59%Thu 22 Oct
  85. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 22?: No99%Thu 22 Oct
  86. Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?: Yes81%Wed 28 Oct
  87. Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.5: Over57%Fri 23 Oct
  88. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 22?: Yes98%Thu 22 Oct
  89. Serbia Parliamentary Election: Turnout: 66-70%44%Sun 25 Oct
  90. Women's Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Alexia Putellas95%Tue 27 Oct
  91. Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC72%Sat 24 Oct
  92. Spread: Steelers (-3.5): Saints55%Sun 25 Oct
  93. Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 22?: 26°C75%Thu 22 Oct
  94. Ethereum Up or Down on October 22?: Down96%Thu 22 Oct
  95. Serbia Election: United Serbia Vote Share?: 40-45%38%Sun 25 Oct
  96. Serbia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place: Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!71%Sun 25 Oct
  97. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 22?: No83%Thu 22 Oct
  98. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?: 200+54%Fri 23 Oct
  99. Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner: Iliana Iotova97%Sun 25 Oct
  100. Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Chelsea FC60%Sat 24 Oct
  101. OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?: 675-725T96%Mon 26 Oct
  102. South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?: did not happen72%Wed 28 Oct
  103. Cavaliers vs. 76ers: 76ers59%Thu 22 Oct
  104. Will Trump's approval rating be at least 40.0 on October 23, 2026?: No93%Sat 24 Oct
  105. Cali: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida56%Wed 28 Oct
  106. UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card): Movsar Evloev51%Sun 25 Oct
  107. Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Fajing Sun: Keegan Smith54%Thu 29 Oct
  108. #3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?: OpenAI65%Tue 27 Oct
  109. Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 22?: 30°C66%Thu 22 Oct
  110. Buccaneers vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5: Over56%Sun 25 Oct
  111. Bratislava Mayoral Election Winner: Matúš Vallo94%Sun 25 Oct
  112. Waterloo, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Shannon Weber52%Tue 27 Oct
  113. Israeli election results in a hung parliament?: No64%Tue 27 Oct
  114. Nitra Mayoral Election Winner: did not happen82%Sun 25 Oct
  115. Martin Mayoral Election Winner: Michal Uherčík50%Sun 25 Oct
  116. How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?: 039%Wed 28 Oct
  117. Poprad Mayoral Election Winner: Anton Danko83%Sun 25 Oct
  118. Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci: Mattia Bellucci53%Thu 29 Oct
  119. Latrobe Mayoral Election Winner: Brett Whiteley99%Wed 28 Oct
  120. Celtic FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo - Exact Score: Celtic FC 1 - 1 RC Celta de Vigo46%Thu 22 Oct
  121. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Alagoas: Lula99%Mon 26 Oct
  122. Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?: 6-7%31%Tue 27 Oct
  123. British Columbia General Election: 2nd Place: NDP90%Sat 24 Oct
  124. Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?: 22-2325%Tue 27 Oct
  125. Will we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction?: No96%Sat 24 Oct
  126. Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?: <475%Tue 27 Oct
  127. Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?: 6-737%Tue 27 Oct
  128. Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 22?: 26°C72%Thu 22 Oct
  129. OFI vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Bayer 04 Leverkusen75%Thu 22 Oct
  130. LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs: Galions53%Thu 22 Oct
  131. Hamilton Mayoral Election: Keanin Loomis59%Tue 27 Oct
  132. Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place: The Democrats29%Wed 28 Oct
  133. Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?: Opp.53%Wed 28 Oct
  134. Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?: Gadi Eizenkot60%Wed 28 Oct
  135. Israel Election: Together # of seats?: 14-1633%Tue 27 Oct
  136. How many Israeli elections before government formed?: did not happen69%Tue 27 Oct
  137. Spread: Rams (-3.5): Rams54%Sun 25 Oct
  138. Spread: Bears (-3.5): Patriots55%Fri 23 Oct
  139. Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Andrey Gyurov91%Sun 25 Oct
  140. Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 22?: 22°C68%Thu 22 Oct
  141. Bengals vs. Ravens: Bengals58%Sun 25 Oct
  142. Central Bank of Chile decision in October: No change99%Tue 27 Oct
  143. Spread: Lions (-3.5): Packers54%Sun 25 Oct
  144. Highest temperature in Atlanta on October 22?: 76-77°F55%Thu 22 Oct
  145. Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 22?: 14°C56%Thu 22 Oct
  146. Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?: 7-868%Tue 27 Oct
  147. Israel’s next prime minister after the 2026 election: Gadi Eisenkot56%Sun 25 Oct
  148. Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5: Under57%Tue 27 Oct
  149. Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?: <0.75%98%Tue 27 Oct
  150. Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 31: You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo99%Wed 28 Oct
  151. Winner of Israel's legislative election: Yashar65%Tue 27 Oct
  152. Democratic Senate odds on October 23?: >66%67%Fri 23 Oct
  153. Thunder Bay, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Trevor Giertuga49%Tue 27 Oct
  154. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 22?: No99%Thu 22 Oct
  155. Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: Arsenal FC85%Sat 24 Oct
  156. Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?: 6-7%46%Tue 27 Oct
  157. Burlington, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Marianne Meed Ward67%Tue 27 Oct
  158. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?: Yes71%Mon 26 Oct
  159. Cambridge, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Scott Hamilton70%Tue 27 Oct
  160. Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 31: Housewife - Tate McRae80%Tue 27 Oct
  161. Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 22?: 15°C or below38%Thu 22 Oct
  162. Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A: Team Yandex90%Thu 22 Oct
  163. Košice Mayoral Election Winner: Ladislav Lörinc80%Sun 25 Oct
  164. Trenčín Region Governor Election Winner: Jaroslav Baška77%Sun 25 Oct
  165. Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Paris Saint-Germain FC81%Sun 25 Oct
  166. Spread: James Madison (-10.5): James Madison58%Thu 22 Oct
  167. Meander Valley Mayoral Election Winner: Stephanie Cameron62%Wed 28 Oct
  168. Spread: Texans (-9.5): Texans54%Sun 25 Oct
  169. Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner: Chloe Foster44%Wed 28 Oct
  170. Qairat FK vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 0.5: Over74%Thu 22 Oct
  171. Central Coast Mayoral Election Winner: Cheryl Fuller79%Wed 28 Oct
  172. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Sergipe: Lula99%Mon 26 Oct
  173. Juventus FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Juventus FC76%Thu 22 Oct
  174. Sorell Mayoral Election Winner: Janet Gatehouse69%Wed 28 Oct
  175. White House # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?: 200+95%Fri 23 Oct
  176. Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?: No release by October 3199%Mon 26 Oct
  177. Highest temperature in Taipei on October 22?: 25°C63%Thu 22 Oct
  178. Trump approval rating on October 23?: 38.0–38.452%Sat 24 Oct
  179. Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory: Cadu wins30%Mon 26 Oct
  180. Peterborough, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Neil Morton84%Tue 27 Oct
  181. Acre governor election: Mailza Assis96%Sun 25 Oct
  182. Highest temperature in London on October 22?: 15°C51%Thu 22 Oct
  183. Browns vs. Titans: O/U 36.5: Over58%Sun 25 Oct
  184. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Federal District: Flavio Bolsonaro99%Mon 26 Oct
  185. Highest temperature in Beijing on October 22?: 17°C58%Thu 22 Oct
  186. Sault Ste. Marie, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Matthew Shoemaker64%Tue 27 Oct
  187. Spread: Vikings (-6.5): Colts59%Sun 25 Oct
  188. Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 22?: 31°C48%Thu 22 Oct
  189. Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner: John Kelly45%Wed 28 Oct
  190. KKS Lech Poznań vs. Sunderland AFC: Sunderland AFC59%Thu 22 Oct
  191. Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on October 22?: 31°C47%Thu 22 Oct
  192. W35 Loule: Madelief Hageman vs Weronika Falkowska: Weronika Falkowska51%Wed 28 Oct
  193. Clarence Mayoral Election Winner: Brendan Blomeley69%Wed 28 Oct
  194. London, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Josh Morgan85%Tue 27 Oct
  195. Israeli Legislative Election: Turnout: 74%+51%Wed 28 Oct
  196. Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner: Kevin Acton92%Sun 25 Oct
  197. Brandon, MB Mayoral Election Winner: Jeff Fawcett66%Thu 29 Oct
  198. Israel military action against Lebanon on October 27?: Yes84%Wed 28 Oct
  199. Burnie Mayoral Election Winner: Giovanna Simpson45%Wed 28 Oct
  200. Oakville, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Rob Burton79%Tue 27 Oct
  201. Highest temperature in Wellington on October 22?: 19°C68%Thu 22 Oct
  202. Highest temperature in Busan on October 22?: 19°C57%Thu 22 Oct
  203. Angers SCO vs. FC Lorient: FC Lorient54%Sun 25 Oct
  204. Serbia Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory: United Serbia 10%+38%Sun 25 Oct
  205. Richmond Hill, ON Mayoral Election Winner: David West96%Tue 27 Oct
  206. Highest temperature in Lucknow on October 22?: 31°C56%Thu 22 Oct
  207. Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A: Team Liquid55%Thu 22 Oct
  208. Israel Election: Dems # of seats?: 8-949%Tue 27 Oct
  209. Highest temperature in Singapore on October 22?: 32°C52%Thu 22 Oct
  210. UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims): Aaron Pico56%Sun 25 Oct
  211. LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage: Team Liquid72%Sat 24 Oct
  212. West Tamar Mayoral Election Winner: Rick Shegog71%Wed 28 Oct
  213. Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Gentle Mates GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs: Team Liquid Brazil61%Sat 24 Oct
  214. Counter-Strike: BIG vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs: TheMongolz52%Thu 22 Oct
  215. LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage: Bilibili Gaming83%Sat 24 Oct
  216. Highest temperature in Ankara on October 22?: 20°C53%Thu 22 Oct
  217. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Olympique Lyonnais: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim62%Thu 22 Oct
  218. Will "Wildwood" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?: Yes91%Mon 26 Oct
  219. Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Manchester United FC48%Sun 25 Oct
  220. Israel Election: Shas # of seats?: 8-943%Tue 27 Oct
  221. SC Braga vs. KAA Gent: SC Braga65%Thu 22 Oct
  222. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in São Paulo: Flavio Bolsonaro99%Mon 26 Oct
  223. Japan Women's Open: Magda Linette vs Katerina Siniakova: Katerina Siniakova66%Thu 29 Oct
  224. Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner: Margareta Dovgal53%Sun 25 Oct
  225. UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card): Alexander Volkov53%Sun 25 Oct
  226. Highest temperature in Houston on October 22?: 84-85°F62%Thu 22 Oct
  227. Ningbo Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider: Diana Shnaider56%Wed 28 Oct
  228. Highest temperature in Paris on October 22?: 15°C47%Thu 22 Oct
  229. Highest temperature in Helsinki on October 22?: 12°C55%Thu 22 Oct
  230. Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Nottingham Forest FC58%Fri 23 Oct
  231. Guelph, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Leanne Caron65%Tue 27 Oct
  232. Highest temperature in Guangzhou on October 22?: 30°C53%Thu 22 Oct
  233. Highest temperature in Miami on October 22?: 82-83°F56%Thu 22 Oct
  234. Pickering, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Kevin Ashe70%Mon 26 Oct
  235. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Maranhão: Lula99%Mon 26 Oct
  236. Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026?: did not happen97%Thu 29 Oct
  237. Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?: 5-6%37%Tue 27 Oct
  238. Highest temperature in Chengdu on October 22?: 18°C49%Thu 22 Oct
  239. RU Saint-Gilloise vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: RU Saint-Gilloise73%Thu 22 Oct
  240. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pernambuco: Lula100%Mon 26 Oct
  241. LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage: LYON59%Sat 24 Oct
  242. Rangers vs. Maple Leafs: Rangers52%Thu 22 Oct
  243. Amazonas Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory: Aziz 15%+39%Mon 26 Oct
  244. Nuggets vs. Thunder: Thunder75%Fri 23 Oct
  245. Trnava Mayoral Election Winner: did not happen64%Sun 25 Oct
  246. Highest temperature in Milan on October 22?: 19°C45%Thu 22 Oct
  247. Highest temperature in Munich on October 22?: 13°C50%Thu 22 Oct
  248. Milton, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Gord Krantz69%Mon 26 Oct
  249. Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?: <2.5%49%Tue 27 Oct
  250. Highest temperature in Chongqing on October 22?: 19°C56%Thu 22 Oct
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within seven days, then reported as though they already had.